Friday, September 2, 2022

causal thinking fallacy in psychology

 Causal thinking is a common feature of human minds that assumes an outcome is easily explained by prior events without evidence that prior events were part of a causal chain.

For example, a massive selloff in financial markets may be considered by some pundits to have been highly predictable based on factors in the preceding months.

People weave together events to create a causal story to "understand" an outcome. When the explanation makes sense, the search for additional "causes" ends.



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