Sunday, April 2, 2023

Pseudocertainty effect in psychology

The pseudocertainty effect refers to a false conclusion of certainty based on decisions in a later stage of a multistage decision-making process when the outcome is uncertain. The problem occurs when people ignore an outcome at an earlier stage.

The effect is attributed to Nobel Prize winning psychological scientist, Daniel Kahneman who worked with Amos Tversky on decision-making.

Kahneman is the author of the highly acclaimed book, Thinking, Fast and Slow.



Geoffrey W. Sutton, PhD is Emeritus Professor of Psychology. He retired from a clinical practice and was credentialed in clinical neuropsychology and psychopharmacology. His website is  www.suttong.com

 

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Dr. Sutton’s posts are for educational purposes only. See a licensed mental health provider for diagnoses, treatment, and consultation.





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